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Journal article

Foundation models enable wearable signal screening for cardiovascular disease among people living with HIV

Abstract:

Background

Cardiovascular disease screening faces significant challenges in resource-limited settings, where infrastructure and computational constraints preclude advanced assessment. These constraints are particularly acute for people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), who experience elevated cardiovascular risk yet often receive care in clinics without specialist diagnostic capacity. Pretrained physiological foundation models offer potential for low-cost screening using wearable sensors, though their applicability in resource-constrained settings remains unclear.

Methods

We evaluate pretrained physiological embeddings from foundation models for cardiovascular disease detection using photoplethysmography signals from 80 people living with HIV in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. Of 80 participants, 13 (16%) had cardiologist-confirmed cardiovascular disease. We compare strictly zero-shot deployment (NormWear without local training) with frozen PaPaGei embeddings plus locally trained classifier, alongside traditional approaches.

Results

Here we show that the PaPaGei-embedding approach achieves area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.769 (95% confidence interval: 0.70, 0.84) and average precision 0.489 (0.37, 0.61) in this pilot cohort, numerically higher than zero-shot NormWear (0.610; 0.226), principal component analysis features (0.651; 0.208), and supervised clinical models (0.744; 0.433). This approach requires local labels for classifier training but avoids computationally intensive foundation model fine-tuning. However, given the small positive class size (13 cases), these findings require validation in larger cohorts. PaPaGei embeddings capture clinically coherent structure: patients on dolutegravir-based regimens cluster in low-risk regions, while those with high cholesterol variability occupy high-risk areas.

Conclusions

These preliminary findings provide a potential methodological framework for deploying foundation models in resource-constrained settings, though adequately powered, multi-centre validation is essential before clinical implementation.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/s43856-025-01331-6

Authors

More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-3757-7877
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-6344-0180
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Nature Research
Journal:
communications medicine More from this journal
Publication date:
2026-01-16
Acceptance date:
2025-12-10
DOI:
EISSN:
2730-664X
ISSN:
2730-664X


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2362428
UUID:
uuid_5d8a47a8-fd52-4201-99fe-b98b9227ba30
Local pid:
pubs:2362428
Source identifiers:
W7124487410
Deposit date:
2026-01-21
ARK identifier:
This ORA record was generated from metadata provided by an external service. It has not been edited by the ORA Team.

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