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Rank robustness of composite indices : dominance and ambiguity

Abstract:

Many structures in economics – from development indices to expected utility – take the form of a linear composite index, which aggregates linearly across multiple dimensions using a vector of weights. Judgments rendered by composite indices are often given great importance, yet by definition are contingent on an initial vector of weights. A comparison made with one weighting vector could be robust to variations in the weights or, alternatively, it may be reversed at some other plausible vector. This paper presents criteria to discern between these two cases. A general robustness quasi-ordering is defined that requires dominance or unanimous comparisons for a set of weighting vectors, and methods from the Bewley model of Knightian uncertainty are invoked to characterize it. We focus on a particular set of weighting vectors suggested by the epsilon-contamination model of ambiguity, which allows the degree of confidence in the initial weighting vector to play a role. We provide a practical vector-valued representation of the resulting epsilon-robustness quasi-ordering and propose a numerical measure to gauge the robustness of a given comparison. An empirical illustration reports on the robustness of Human Development Index country rankings. We extend our methods to certain nonlinear composite indices and explore the links with decision theory, partial comparability in social choice, and the measurement of the freedom of choice.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Reviewed (other)

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More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
International Development
Research group:
Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (OPHI)
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
International Development
Research group:
Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (OPHI)
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
International Development
Research group:
Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (OPHI)
Role:
Author



Publisher:
Oxford Poverty & Human Development Initiative (OPHI)
Series:
OPHI working paper
Publication date:
2012-01-01
Edition:
Publisher's version
ISSN:
2040-8188
Paper number:
26b
ISBN:
9781907194436


Language:
English
Keywords:
UUID:
uuid:5c247b0e-9e98-4c7c-95f0-2a8d09056434
Local pid:
ora:9416
Deposit date:
2014-11-27

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