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Fluctuations and rigidities in local labor markets, part 1: theory and evidence

Abstract:
Cyclical sensitivity in employment, wages, and hours worked are explored with reference to three industries and eleven US cities over the period 1972 - 1980. Conventional neoclassical discrete-exchange models of the labor market are shown to be inadequate because of marked rigidities in the patterns of short-run adjustment. Money wages are very stable, being dominated by a long-run trend, and firms tend to adjust hours worked and only then employment in the short run. There are, however, significant interregional variations in these patterns within the same industry. Spectral analysis and tests for periodicities in the patterns of residuals derived from trend-line estimates of money wages confirm a supposition that urban Phillips curves do not exist. The evidence supports the implicit notion of contract theory that continuous employer - worker relationships exist over the business cycle. The question of how useful, in general, this theory might be is left open for the present.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1068/a150165

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Geography
Research group:
Transformations: Economy, Society and Place
Oxford college:
St Peter's College
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Pion Ltd.
Journal:
Environment and Planning A More from this journal
Volume:
15
Issue:
2
Pages:
165-185
Publication date:
1983-01-01
DOI:
EISSN:
1472-3409
ISSN:
0308-518X


Language:
English
Keywords:
Subjects:
UUID:
uuid:59beb9c5-d2fc-456f-ace6-fa805fb3b27e
Local pid:
ora:1964
Deposit date:
2008-05-20

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