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Choosing among regularized estimators in empirical economics: the risk of machine learning

Abstract:
Many settings in empirical economics involve estimation of a large number of parameters. In such settings, methods that combine regularized estimation and data-driven choices of regularization parameters are useful. We provide guidance to applied researchers on the choice between regularized estimators and data-driven selection of regularization parameters. We characterize the risk and relative performance of regularized estimators as a function of the data-generating process and show that data-driven choices of regularization parameters yield estimators with risk uniformly close to the risk attained under the optimal (unfeasible) choice of regularization parameters. We illustrate using examples from empirical economics.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1162/rest_a_00812

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Sub department:
Economics
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press
Journal:
Review of Economics and Statistics More from this journal
Volume:
101
Issue:
5
Pages:
743-762
Publication date:
2019-12-11
Acceptance date:
2018-09-17
DOI:
EISSN:
1530-9142
ISSN:
0034-6535


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1108752
Local pid:
pubs:1108752
Deposit date:
2020-06-25
ARK identifier:

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