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AI-driven adaptive adversaries and the erosion of cryptographic trust in public key systems

Abstract:
This paper examines the erosion of Public Key Cryptography (PKC) security under adaptive adversarial optimisation driven by artificial intelligence. The problem addressed is the growing mismatch between algorithm-centric cryptographic security models and operational attack realities, where adversaries exploit implementation-level observability rather than breaking cryptographic primitives. The methodology integrates a reproducible bibliometric analysis of Web of Science records, qualitative evidence from twenty expert interviews and three industry workshops, and a technical synthesis of AI-enabled attack mechanisms across the cryptographic lifecycle. Results show that existing research is structurally concentrated on algorithmic robustness, with no significant focus on AI-driven attack vectors, while 82% of practitioners attribute private key compromise to AI-augmented optimisation and side-channel inference. The paper’s contribution is fourfold: (1) identification of a systemic research gap in AI-enabled cryptographic attacks; (2) development of an adaptive adversarial threat model spanning key generation to validation; (3) empirical validation of implementation-layer compromise mechanisms; and (4) formulation of AI-aware cryptographic resilience requirements extending beyond post-quantum approaches. The findings demonstrate that cryptographic security must be reconceptualised as an adaptive, system-level property rather than a function of algorithm strength alone.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1186/s40543-026-00547-y

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-5629-6857


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Funder identifier:
10.13039/100000865
Grant:
INV-057591
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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/0439y7842
Grant:
EP/S035362/1
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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/0456r8d26


Publisher:
SpringerOpen
Journal:
Journal of Analytical Science and Technology More from this journal
Volume:
17
Issue:
1
Article number:
26
Publication date:
2026-05-12
Acceptance date:
2026-04-06
DOI:
EISSN:
2093-3371
ISSN:
2093-3371


Language:
English
Keywords:
Source identifiers:
4037641
Deposit date:
2026-05-12
ARK identifier:
This ORA record was generated from metadata provided by an external service. It has not been edited by the ORA Team.

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