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Modeling ice cliff stability using a new Mohr-Coulomb-based phase field fracture model

Abstract:
Iceberg calving at glacier termini results in mass loss from ice sheets, but the associated fracture mechanics is often poorly represented using simplistic (empirical or elementary mechanics-based) failure criteria. Here, we propose an advanced Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion that drives cracking based on the visco-elastic stress state in ice. This criterion is implemented in a phase field fracture framework, and finite element simulations are conducted to determine the critical conditions that can trigger ice cliff collapse. Results demonstrate that fast-moving glaciers with negligible basal friction are prone to tensile failure causing crevasse propagation far away from the ice front; whilst slow-moving glaciers with significant basal friction are likely to exhibit shear failure near the ice front. Results also indicate that seawater pressure plays a major role in modulating cliff failure. For land terminating glaciers, full thickness cliff failure is observed if the glacier exceeds a critical height, dependent on cohesive strength τc (H ≈ 120 m for τc = 0.5 MPa). For marineterminating glaciers, ice cliff failure occurs if a critical glacier free-board (H - hw) is exceeded, with ice slumping only observed above the ocean-water height; for τc = 0.5 MPa, the model-predicted critical free-board is H - hw ≈ 215 m, which is in good agreement with field observations. While the critical free-board height is larger than that predicted by some previous models, we cannot conclude that marine ice cliff instability is less likely because we do not include other failure processes such as hydrofracture of basal crevasses and plastic necking.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1017/jog.2025.21

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Engineering Science
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-7770-7440
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Engineering Science
Role:
Author


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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/03wnrjx87
Grant:
IES/R1/211032
More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/001aqnf71
Grant:
MR/V024124/1
More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/021nxhr62
Grant:
PLR-1847173
More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/02b5d8509
Grant:
2446853
More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/027ka1x80
Grant:
80NSSC21K1003


Publisher:
Cambridge University Press
Journal:
Journal of Glaciology More from this journal
Volume:
71
Publication date:
2025-03-18
Acceptance date:
2025-03-10
DOI:
EISSN:
1727-5652
ISSN:
0022-1430


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2104701
Local pid:
pubs:2104701
Deposit date:
2025-04-15
ARK identifier:

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