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AlphaGo’s move 37 and its implications for AI-supported military decision-making

Abstract:
In a match against Lee Sedol, one of the greatest contemporary Go players, DeepMind’s AI programme AlphaGo played a move which stunned commentators at the time, who described it as ‘unthinkable’, ‘surprising’, ‘a big shock’, and ‘bad’. Move 37 turned out to be key to AlphaGo’s victory in that game, and it displays what I describe as the property of ‘unpredictable brilliance’. Unpredictable brilliance also poses a challenge for a central use case for AI in the military, namely in AI-enabled decision-support systems. Advanced versions of these systems can be expected to display unpredictable brilliance, while also posing risks, both to the safety of blue force personnel and to a military’s likelihood of success in its campaign objectives. The central task of this chapter is to show how the management of these risks will result in the redistribution of responsibility for performance in combat away from commanders, and towards the institutions that design, build, authorise and regulate these AI-enabled systems. Surprisingly, this redistribution of 2 responsibility is structurally akin for systems in which humans are ‘in the loop’ as it is for those in which humans are ‘out’ of it.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Blavatnik School of Government
Role:
Author

Contributors

Role:
Editor


Publisher:
Chapman and Hall/CRC
Host title:
Responsible Use of AI in Military Systems
Chapter number:
12
Publication date:
2024-04-26
Acceptance date:
2023-06-28
Edition:
1st Edition
EISBN:
978-1-003-41037-9
ISBN:
978-1-032-52430-6


Language:
English
Pubs id:
1489082
Local pid:
pubs:1489082
Deposit date:
2023-07-03

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