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Due deference to denialism: explaining ordinary people’s rejection of established scientific findings

Abstract:
There is a robust scientific consensus concerning climate change and evolution. But many people reject these expert views, in favour of beliefs that are strongly at variance with the evidence. It is tempting to try to explain these beliefs by reference to ignorance or irrationality, but those who reject the expert view seem often to be no worse informed or any less rational than the majority of those who accept it. It is also tempting to try to explain these beliefs by reference to epistemic overconfidence. However, this kind of overconfidence is apparently ubiquitous, so by itself it cannot explain the difference between those who accept and those who reject expert views. Instead, I will suggest that the difference is in important part explained by differential patterns of epistemic deference, and these patterns, in turn, are explained by the cues that we use to filter testimony. We rely on cues of benevolence and competence to distinguish reliable from unreliable testifiers, but when debates become deeply politicized, asserting a claim may itself constitute signalling lack of reliability.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1007/s11229-017-1477-x

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
HUMS
Department:
Philosophy Faculty
Role:
Author



Publisher:
Springer Netherlands
Journal:
Synthese More from this journal
Volume:
196
Issue:
1
Pages:
313–327
Publication date:
2017-06-30
Acceptance date:
2017-06-19
DOI:
EISSN:
1573-0964
ISSN:
0039-7857


Pubs id:
pubs:701534
UUID:
uuid:4ad4557a-8c17-429f-9dae-b102bb94bd26
Local pid:
pubs:701534
Deposit date:
2017-06-22
ARK identifier:

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