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Post-discharge mortality among SARS-CoV-2-infected adult patients with severe acute respiratory infection in Bangladesh (2020–2023): burden, clinical characteristics, and associated risk factors

Abstract:
Background: While global estimates of SARS-CoV-2-infected mortality predominantly focus on in-hospital deaths, post-discharge mortality remains an overlooked contributor to the total disease burden, especially in low- and middle-income countries such as Bangladesh. This study aimed to estimate the 30-day post-discharge mortality rate among adult (≥ 18 years) patients with severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) who were SARS-CoV-2-infected and to identify factors associated with these deaths. Methods: From March 2020–December 2023, we enrolled hospitalised adult meeting the World Health Organization defiend SARI case defination across nine tertiary care hospitals in Bangladesh. We followed-up with patients or their family members 30-day post-discharge to ascertain survival status. We calculated the proportion of post-discharge deaths among SARS-CoV-2-infected patients and compared the demographic and clinical characteristics of decedents versus survivors. Data were summarised using descriptive statistics, t-test, Fisher’s exact test, and Chi-square tests. We used multivariable Cox's regression models to calculate the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) to identify factors associated with SARS-CoV-2-infected adult patient’s deaths during 30-day post-discharge period. Results: Among 7,816 patients enrolled [mean age 47 years (± 47.7), 62% male], 1,280 (16.4%) were SARS-CoV-2-infected. Of them, 126 (9.8%) died during their hospital stay. Among the 1154 patients discharged alive, 1,108 (96%) were successfully followed up, and 111 (10%) died within 30 days post-discharge. The most frequently reported symptoms among post-discharge decedents included difficulty breathing (105; 94.6%), body ache (55; 49.6%), headache (44; 39.6%), with over half (59; 53.1%) having at least one pre-existing condition. Post-discharge mortality was approximately fourfold higher among prematurely discharged patients (aHR: 4.13; 95% CI 1.52–11.23), nearly fourfold higher in those with difficulty breathing (aHR: 3.69; 95% CI 1.62–8.43), and more than threefold higher among patients with kidney disease (aHR: 3.35; 95% CI 1.34–8.38) compared with their counterparts. Conclusions: Nearly one in five adult patients with SARS-CoV-2-infected SARI in Bangladesh died either during hospitalisation or within 30-day of post-discharge, with almost half of these deaths occurring after discharge. Study findings underscore the urgent need to strengthen discharge planning, such as developing and implementing standardised discharge guidelines, prioritising high-risk patients such as premature discharge for targeted post-discharge follow-up, and implementing structured post-discharge care interventions to reduce preventable mortality in resource-limited settings.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1186/s41182-026-00937-3

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Role:
Author


Publisher:
BioMed Central
Journal:
Tropical Medicine and Health More from this journal
Volume:
54
Issue:
1
Article number:
58
Publication date:
2026-03-04
Acceptance date:
2026-02-24
DOI:
EISSN:
1349-4147
ISSN:
1349-4147


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2386490
Local pid:
pubs:2386490
Source identifiers:
3890248
Deposit date:
2026-03-26
ARK identifier:
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