The continuous model of Anderson et al. (1981), Nature 289, 765-771, is successful in describing certain characteristics of rabies epizootics, in particular, the secondary recurrences which follow the initial outbreak; however, it also predicts the occurrence of exponentially small minima in the infected population, which would realistically imply extinction of the virus. Here we show that inclusion of a more realistic distribution of incubation times in the model can explain why extinction w...Expand abstract
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The effect of incubation time distribution on the extinction characteristics of a rabies epizootic.
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