Journal article
Large uncertainty in future warming due to aerosol forcing
- Abstract:
- Despite a concerted research effort and extensive observational record, uncertainty in climate sensitivity and aerosol forcing, the two largest contributions to future warming uncertainty, remains large. Here we highlight the stark disparity that different aerosol forcing can imply for future warming projections: scenarios compatible with the Paris Agreement can either easily meet the specified warming limits or risk missing them completely using plausible samples from the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report assessed uncertainty ranges.
- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
Actions
Access Document
- Files:
-
-
(Preview, Accepted manuscript, pdf, 897.3KB, Terms of use)
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- Publisher copy:
- 10.1038/s41558-022-01516-0
Authors
- Publisher:
- Springer Nature
- Journal:
- Nature Climate Change More from this journal
- Volume:
- 12
- Pages:
- 1111–1113
- Publication date:
- 2022-11-14
- Acceptance date:
- 2022-08-19
- DOI:
- EISSN:
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1758-6798
- ISSN:
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1758-678X
- Language:
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English
- Keywords:
- Pubs id:
-
1276567
- Local pid:
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pubs:1276567
- Deposit date:
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2022-08-31
- ARK identifier:
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- Watson-Parris and Smith
- Copyright date:
- 2022
- Rights statement:
- Copyright © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
- Notes:
- This is the accepted manuscript version of the article. The final version is available online from Springer Nature at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01516-0
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