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Journal article

Detection of anomalous spatio-temporal patterns of app traffic in response to catastrophic events

Abstract:
In this work, we uncover patterns of usage mobile phone applications and information spread in response to perturbations caused by unprecedented events. We focus on categorizing patterns of response in both space and time, tracking their relaxation over time. To this end, we use the NetMob2023 Data Challenge dataset, which provides mobile phone applications traffic volume data for several cities in France at a spatial resolution of 100 m2 and a time resolution of 15 minutes for a time period ranging from March to May 2019. We analyze the spread of information before, during, and after the catastrophic Notre-Dame fire on April 15th and a bombing that took place in the city centre of Lyon on May 24th using volume of data uploaded and downloaded to different mobile applications as a proxy of information transfer dynamics. We identify different clusters of information transfer dynamics in response to the Notre-Dame fire within the city of Paris as well as in other major French cities. We find a clear pattern of significantly above-baseline usage of the application Twitter (currently known as X) in Paris that radially spreads from the area surrounding the Notre-Dame cathedral to the rest of the city. We detect a similar pattern in the city of Lyon in response to the bombing. Further, we present a null model of radial information spread and develop methods of tracking radial patterns over time. Overall, we illustrate novel analytical methods we devise, showing how they enable a new perspective on mobile phone user response to unplanned catastrophic events and giving insight into how information spreads during a catastrophe in both time and space.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1140/epjds/s13688-025-00546-w

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Statistics
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0009-0005-5465-459X
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-5107-5019
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-2779-8310
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Oxford college:
Somerville College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-0583-4595


More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/0439y7842
Grant:
EP/W523781/1
EP/Y028872/1
EP/V013068/1
EP/V03474X/1


Publisher:
Springer Nature
Journal:
EPJ Data Science More from this journal
Volume:
14
Issue:
1
Article number:
35
Place of publication:
Germany
Publication date:
2025-05-06
Acceptance date:
2025-03-27
DOI:
EISSN:
2193-1127
Pmid:
40342613


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2124581
UUID:
uuid_42220d99-eda5-4ff2-ab10-b4ddedbfe5a6
Local pid:
pubs:2124581
Source identifiers:
W4410123465
Deposit date:
2025-06-10
ARK identifier:

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