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Conservation impacts and hidden actions in a randomized controlled trial of a marine pay-to-release program

Abstract:
Incentive payments could cost-effectively and equitably achieve biodiversity conservation goals but could also trigger unintended countervailing actions. Here, we report on a preregistered, randomized controlled trial of a pay-to-release program among small-scale, Indonesian fishing vessels for the release of two critically endangered marine taxa from fishing gear: hammerhead sharks and wedgefish. A conventional monitoring approach, which quantifies impacts based on conservation-relevant actions (i.e., numbers of live releases), implies that the program was successful: a 71 and 4% reduction in wedgefish and hammerhead shark mortality, respectively. The experimental data, however, imply that the pay-to-release program also induced some vessels to increase their catch, thereby decreasing wedgefish mortality by only 25% [confidence interval (CI): −49 to 10%] and increasing hammerhead mortality by 44% (CI: 8 to 92%). Our results do not imply that pay-to-release programs cannot work but rather demonstrate the complexity of designing incentive-based conservation programs and the importance of piloting them using experimental designs before scaling up.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1126/sciadv.adr1000

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Biology
Role:
Author


Publisher:
American Association for the Advancement of Science
Journal:
Science Advances More from this journal
Volume:
11
Issue:
17
Article number:
eadr1000
Publication date:
2025-04-23
Acceptance date:
2025-03-18
DOI:
EISSN:
2375-2548


Language:
English
Pubs id:
2118270
Local pid:
pubs:2118270
Deposit date:
2025-04-14
ARK identifier:

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