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A systematic review shows no performance benefit of machine learning over logistic regression for clinical prediction models

Abstract:

OBJECTIVE: To compare performance of logistic regression (LR) with machine learning (ML) for clinical prediction modeling. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We conducted a Medline literature search (1/2016 to 8/2017), and extracted comparisons between LR and ML models for binary outcomes. RESULTS: We included 71 out of 927 studies. The median sample size was 1250 (range 72-3,994,872), with 19 predictors considered (range 5-563) and 8 events per predictor (range 0.3-6,697). The most common ML methods ...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1016/j.jclinepi.2019.02.004

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
NDORMS
Sub department:
Centre for Statistics in Medicine
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-2772-2316
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-7166-7211
Publisher:
Elsevier
Journal:
Journal of Clinical Epidemiology More from this journal
Volume:
110
Pages:
12-22
Publication date:
2019-02-11
Acceptance date:
2019-02-05
DOI:
ISSN:
1878-5921
Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:973554
UUID:
uuid:4167c905-5171-4fc7-b157-ff36d56a73db
Local pid:
pubs:973554
Source identifiers:
973554
Deposit date:
2019-02-15

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