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Climate change drives northward range shifts in invasive forest pests and pathogens

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Invasive tree pests and pathogens are increasingly threatening forests worldwide. Understanding how a warming climate and changing precipitation patterns will affect the future distribution ranges of these pathogenic species requires systematic analysis across a variety of host trees and pathogenic species. The present dataset contained the geographic distributions of 31 major tree pests and pathogens that have caused widespread and extensive damage globally. The dataset was collected from peer-reviewed literature, GBIF, EPPO, U.S. Alien Forest Pest Explorer and other available sources. The data was used to predict the current and future distribution of tree pests and pathogens under various climate change scenarios using species distribution modelling. The results showed that tree pests and pathogens will consistently shift northward, threatening northern temperate and boreal forests between the years 2041 and 2080. The ZIP file 'data.zip' contains all required data for MaxEnt species distribution model inputs. Folder 'occurrence' contains original data collected from web sources,

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Oxford college:
Wolfson College
Role:
Creator


Publisher:
University of Oxford
Publication date:
2026
DOI:


Language:
English
Pubs id:
2466277
Local pid:
pubs:2466277
Deposit date:
2026-10-11
ARK identifier:

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