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Non-stationarity in Southern Hemisphere climate variability associated with the seasonal breakdown of the stratospheric polar vortex

Abstract:

Statistical models of climate generally regard climate variability as anomalies about a climatological seasonal cycle, which are treated as a stationary stochastic process plus a long-term seasonally dependent trend. However, the climate system has deterministic aspects apart from the climatological seasonal cycle and long-term trends, and the assumption of stationary statistics is only an approximation. The variability of the Southern Hemisphere zonal-mean circulation in the period encompass...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0097.1

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Oxford college:
Pembroke College
Role:
Author
More from this funder
Grant:
ingtheAtmosphericCirculationResponsetoClimateChange’ 468(ACRCC),project33939
AdvancedGrant’Underst
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Grant:
innovationprogramundertheMarieSkodowska-Curiegrantagreement654492
F7research
Publisher:
American Meteorological Society Publisher's website
Journal:
Journal of Climate Journal website
Volume:
30
Pages:
7125–7139
Publication date:
2017-08-08
Acceptance date:
2017-05-22
DOI:
EISSN:
1520-0442
ISSN:
0894-8755
Pubs id:
pubs:698005
UUID:
uuid:3fb17b5d-1982-4d08-aa4c-a00b6e4318d6
Local pid:
pubs:698005
Source identifiers:
698005
Deposit date:
2017-06-01

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