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Safety and cost-effectiveness of individualised screening for diabetic retinopathy: the ISDR open-label, equivalence RCT

Abstract:
Aims/hypothesis Using variable diabetic retinopathy screening intervals, informed by personal risk levels, offers improved engagement of people with diabetes and reallocation of resources to high-risk groups, while addressing the increasing prevalence of diabetes. However, safety data on extending screening intervals are minimal. The aim of this study was to evaluate the safety and cost-effectiveness of individualised, variable-interval, risk-based population screening compared with usual care, with wide ranging input from individuals with diabetes. Methods This was a two-arm, parallel-assignment, equivalence RCT (minimum 2 year follow-up) in individuals with diabetes aged 12 years or older registered with a single English screening programme. Participants were randomly allocated 1:1 at baseline to individualised screening at 6, 12 or 24 months for those at high, medium and low risk, respectively, as determined at each screening episode by a risk-calculation engine using local demographic, screening and clinical data, or to annual screening (control group). Screening staff and investigators were observer-masked to allocation and interval. Data were collected within the screening programme. The primary outcome was attendance (safety). A secondary safety outcome was the development of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated within a 2 year time horizon from National Health Service and societal perspectives. Results A total of 4534 participants were randomised. After withdrawals, there were 2097 participants in the individualised screening arm and 2224 in the control arm. Attendance rates at first follow-up were equivalent between the two arms (individualised screening 83.6%; control arm 84.7%; difference −1.0 [95% CI −3.2, 1.2]), while sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy detection rates were non inferior in the individualised screening arm (individualised screening 1.4%, control arm 1.7%; difference −0.3 [95% CI −1.1, 0.5]). Sensitivity analyses confirmed these findings. No important adverse events were observed. Mean differences in complete case quality adjusted life-years (EuroQol Five-Dimension Questionnaire, Health Utilities Index Mark 3) did not significantly differ from zero
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-3195-5024
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-1764-6524
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Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-2330-9559
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Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-0408-7898
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-5416-0873


Publisher:
Springer
Journal:
Diabetologia More from this journal
Volume:
64
Issue:
1
Pages:
56-69
Publication date:
2020-11-04
DOI:
EISSN:
1432-0428
ISSN:
0012-186X


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1225468
Local pid:
pubs:1225468
Source identifiers:
W3095815622
Deposit date:
2026-04-08
ARK identifier:
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