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On the prospects of longtermism

Abstract:

This paper objects to two arguments that William MacAskill gives in What We Owe the Future in support of optimism about the prospects of longtermism, that is, the prospects of positively influencing the longterm future. First, it grants that he is right that whereas humans sometimes benefit others as an end, they rarely harm them as an end, but argues that this bias towards positive motivation is counteracted by the fact that it is practically easier to harm than to benefit. For this greater easiness makes it likely both that accidental effects will be harmful rather than beneficial and that the means or side-effects of the actions people perform with the aim of benefiting themselves and those close to them will tend to be more harmful to others. Secondly, while this paper agrees with him that values could lock-in, it contends that the value of longtermism is unlikely to lock in as long as human beings have not been morally enhanced but remain partial in favour of themselves and those near and dear.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1111/bioe.13323

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
HUMS
Department:
Philosophy Faculty
Oxford college:
St Cross College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-1691-6403



Publisher:
Wiley
Journal:
Bioethics More from this journal
Volume:
38
Issue:
8
Pages:
709-712
Publication date:
2024-06-18
Acceptance date:
2024-05-29
DOI:
EISSN:
1467-8519
ISSN:
0269-9702


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2008737
Local pid:
pubs:2008737
Deposit date:
2024-06-17
ARK identifier:

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