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The expected time to cross extended fitness plateaus

Abstract:

For a population to acquire a complex adaptation requiring multiple individually neutral mutations, it must cross a plateau in the fitness landscape. We consider plateaus involving three mutations, and show that large populations can cross them rapidly via lineages that acquire multiple mutations while remaining at low frequency, much faster than the α μ3 rate for simultaneous triple mutations. Plateau-crossing is fastest for very large populations. At intermediate population sizes, recombination can greatly accelerate adaptation by combining independent mutant lineages to form triple-mutants. For more frequent recombination, such that the population is kept near linkage equilibrium, we extend our analysis to find simple expressions for the expected time to cross plateaus of arbitrary width.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1016/j.tpb.2019.03.008

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Biology
Oxford college:
University College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-4123-3287


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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/01cmst727


Publisher:
Elsevier
Journal:
Theoretical Population Biology More from this journal
Volume:
129
Pages:
54-67
Publication date:
2019-09-25
Acceptance date:
2019-03-05
DOI:
EISSN:
1096-0325
ISSN:
0040-5809
Pmid:
31054850


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1181801
UUID:
uuid_3ae1d333-1881-4fbc-b7bb-e2022d8b29da
Local pid:
pubs:1181801
Deposit date:
2025-12-01
ARK identifier:

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