- Abstract:
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Some of the differences between recent estimates of the remaining budget of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C arise from different estimates of the level of warming to date relative to pre-industrial conditions, but not all. Here we show that, for simple geometrical reasons, the combination of both the level and rate of human-induced warming provides a remarkably accurate prediction of remaining emission budgets to peak warming across a broad range of s...
Expand abstract - Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
- Version:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Files:
-
-
(pdf, 539.0KB)
-
- Publisher copy:
- 10.1038/s41561-018-0156-y
-
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- Publisher:
- Macmillan Publishers Ltd. Publisher's website
- Journal:
- Nature Geoscience Journal website
- Volume:
- 11
- Pages:
- 574–579
- Publication date:
- 2018-06-18
- Acceptance date:
- 2018-05-15
- DOI:
- EISSN:
-
1752-0908
- ISSN:
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1752-0894
- Pubs id:
-
pubs:864255
- URN:
-
uri:3824bdbc-4b98-4ff9-9aa6-4efc7368be20
- UUID:
-
uuid:3824bdbc-4b98-4ff9-9aa6-4efc7368be20
- Local pid:
- pubs:864255
- Copyright holder:
- Macmillan Publishers Ltd.
- Copyright date:
- 2018
- Notes:
- © 2018 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. This is the accepted manuscript version of the article. The final version is available online from Macmillan Publishers Ltd. at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0156-y
Journal article
Current level and rate of warming determine emissions budgets under ambitious mitigation
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