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Quantile Regression Forests.

Abstract:
Random forests were introduced as a machine learning tool in Breiman (2001) and have since proven to be very popular and powerful for high-dimensional regression and classification. For regression, random forests give an accurate approximation of the conditional mean of a response variable. It is shown here that random forests provide information about the full conditional distribution of the response variable, not only about the conditional mean. Conditional quantiles can be inferred with quantile regression forests, a generalisation of random forests. Quantile regression forests give a non-parametric and accurate way of estimating conditional quantiles for high-dimensional predictor variables. The algorithm is shown to be consistent. Numerical examples suggest that the algorithm is competitive in terms of predictive power.
Publication status:
Published

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Statistics
Role:
Author


Journal:
Journal of Machine Learning Research More from this journal
Volume:
7
Pages:
983-999
Publication date:
2006-01-01
EISSN:
1533-7928
ISSN:
1532-4435


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:97763
UUID:
uuid:36811df5-18b6-45e5-a98b-a4548d3d2107
Local pid:
pubs:97763
Source identifiers:
97763
Deposit date:
2012-12-19
ARK identifier:

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