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Journal article

Effects of tobacco control policy on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in Russia

Abstract:

Background:According to the Global Adult Tobacco Survey carried out in Russia in 2009, the country had one of the highest smoking prevalence rates in Europe. In response to this health and economic burden, Russia implemented a comprehensive Tobacco Control Law (TCL) in 2013, which has been associated with a 21.5% relative decline in adult smoking prevalence in 2016 compared with 2009. This study tests the impact of the TCL on cardiovascular disease (CVD) related health outcomes, including morbidity and mortality.

Method:The study evaluated the TCL as an intervention in a natural experiment during the period 2003-2015. A synthetic control was created as a comparator, using data from countries that did not have a comparable comprehensive tobacco control intervention. Changes in trends in CVD outcomes - hospital discharge rates (HDRs) and standardized death rates (SDRs) - were then compared to test for an impact associated with the TCL.

Results:Pre-intervention trends in CVD-related HDRs were similar between Russia and the synthetic control, but became divergent after the TCL with greater benefit observed in Russia. This implies a beneficial impact of the TCL on CVD related morbidity in the Russian population. Whilst SDRs continued to reduce in both Russia and the control, the impact of TCL is less clear.

Conclusion:This study provides further evidence to support comprehensive tobacco control in line with the WHO Framework Convention for Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC). Alongside a reduction in tobacco consumption, smoking-related CVD morbidity appears to benefit quite soon after implementation, whilst smoking-related deaths might need a longer post-intervention period to be detectable.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Files:
Publisher copy:
10.1093/eurpub/cky148

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Social Policy & Intervention
Oxford college:
Green Templeton College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-9114-965X


Publisher:
Oxford University Press
Journal:
European Journal of Public Health More from this journal
Volume:
28
Issue:
S2
Pages:
14-16
Publication date:
2018-10-29
Acceptance date:
2018-08-21
DOI:
EISSN:
1464-360X
ISSN:
1101-1262
Pmid:
30371836


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:938218
UUID:
uuid:364235bc-5fa0-442d-b7ae-fd3840250067
Local pid:
pubs:938218
Source identifiers:
938218
Deposit date:
2019-02-12

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