Journal article icon

Journal article

Predicting the prevalence of chronic kidney disease in the English population: a cross-sectional study

Abstract:

Background: There is concern that not all cases of chronic kidney disease (CKD) are known to general practitioners, leading to an underestimate of its true prevalence. We carried out this study to develop a model to predict the prevalence of CKD using a large English primary care dataset which includes previously undiagnosed cases of CKD.

Methods: Cross-sectional analysis of data from the Quality Improvement in CKD trial, a representative sample of 743 935 adults in England aged 18 and over. We created multivariable logistic regression models to identify important predictive factors.

Results: A prevalence of 6.76% was recorded in our sample, compared to a national prevalence of 4.3%. Increasing age, female gender and cardiovascular disease were associated with a significantly increased prevalence of CKD (p < 0.001 for all). Age had a complex association with CKD. Cardiovascular disease was a stronger predictive factor in younger than in older patients. For example, hypertension has an odds ratio of 2.02 amongst patients above average and an odds ratio of 3.91 amongst patients below average age.

Conclusion: In England many cases of CKD remain undiagnosed. It is possible to use the results of this study to identify areas with high levels of undiagnosed CKD and groups at particular risk of having CKD.

Trial registration: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN: ISRCTN56023731. Note that this study reports the results of a cross-sectional analysis of data from this trial.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

Actions


Access Document


Files:
Publisher copy:
10.1186/1471-2369-14-49

Authors


More by this author
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-7730-668X
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-5613-6810


Publisher:
BioMed Central
Journal:
BMC Nephrology More from this journal
Volume:
14
Issue:
1
Article number:
49
Publication date:
2013-02-25
Acceptance date:
2013-02-13
DOI:
EISSN:
1471-2369
Pmid:
23442335


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1013859
Local pid:
pubs:1013859
Deposit date:
2024-06-06

Terms of use



Views and Downloads






If you are the owner of this record, you can report an update to it here: Report update to this record

TO TOP