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Step-indicator saturation

Abstract:
Using an extension of general-to-specific modelling, based on the recent developments of impulse-indicator saturation (IIS), we consider selecting significant step indicators from a saturating set to capture location shifts. The approximate non-centrality of the test is derived for a variety of shifts using a 'split-half' analysis, the simplest specialization of a multiple-block search algorithm. Monte Carlo simulations confirm the accuracy of the nominal significance levels under the null, and show rejections when location shifts occur, improving in non-null rejection frequency compared to the corresponding IIS-based and to Chow (1960) tests.
Publication status:
Published

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Publisher:
University of Oxford
Series:
Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series
Publication date:
2013-06-06
Paper number:
658


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Pubs id:
514521
Local pid:
pubs:514521
Deposit date:
2020-12-14
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