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A systematic review of criminal recidivism rates worldwide: 3-year update

Abstract:

Background: Comparing recidivism rates between countries may provide useful information about the relative effectiveness of different criminal justice policies. A previous 2015 review identified criminal recidivism data for 18 countries and found little consistency in outcome definitions and time periods. We aimed to update recidivism rates in prisoners internationally.

Methods: We conducted a systematic review of criminal recidivism rates in prisoners and followed PRISMA guidelines. Using three bibliographic indexes, we carried out non-country-specific and targeted searches for 50 countries with the largest total prison populations. We included reports and studies of released prisoners that reported re-arrest, reconviction and reincarceration rates. Meta-analysis was not possible due to multiple sources of heterogeneity.

Results: We identified criminal recidivism information for 23 countries. Of the 50 countries with the largest prison populations, 10 reported recidivism rates for prisoners. The most commonly reported outcome was the 2-year reconviction rate. We were able to examine recidivism over different time periods for 11 countries and found that most reported small changes in official recidivism rates. Overall, for 2-year follow-up period, reported re-arrest rates were between 26% and 60%, reconviction rates ranged from 20% to 63%, and reimprisonment rates varied from 14 to 45%.

Conclusions: Although some countries made efforts to improve reporting, recidivism rates are not comparable between countries. Criminal justice agencies should consider using reporting guidelines described here to update their data.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Not peer reviewed

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Files:
Publisher copy:
10.12688/wellcomeopenres.14970.2

Authors


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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-4936-2857
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Psychiatry
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-5383-5365


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Grant:
202836/Z/16/Z
202836


Publisher:
F1000Research
Journal:
Wellcome Open Research More from this journal
Volume:
4
Article number:
28
Publication date:
2019-11-13
Acceptance date:
2020-11-03
DOI:
ISSN:
2398-502X
Pmid:
31544154


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:1055790
UUID:
uuid:2bc362e3-07b0-49e6-8c02-9262de2c848f
Local pid:
pubs:1055790
Source identifiers:
1055790
Deposit date:
2019-12-16

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