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Distributionally ambiguous optimization techniques for batch Bayesian optimization

Abstract:
We propose a novel, theoretically-grounded, acquisition function for Batch Bayesian optimization informed by insights from distributionally ambiguous optimization. Our acquisition function is a lower bound on the well-known Expected Improvement function, which requires evaluation of a Gaussian Expectation over a multivariate piecewise affine function. Our bound is computed instead by evaluating the best-case expectation over all probability distributions consistent with the same mean and variance as the original Gaussian distribution. Unlike alternative approaches, including Expected Improvement, our proposed acquisition function avoids multi-dimensional integrations entirely, and can be computed exactly - even on large batch sizes - as the solution of a tractable convex optimization problem. Our suggested acquisition function can also be optimized efficiently, since first and second derivative information can be calculated inexpensively as by-products of the acquisition function calculation itself. We derive various novel theorems that ground our work theoretically and we demonstrate superior performance via simple motivating examples, benchmark functions and real-world problems.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Not peer reviewed

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Preprint server copy:
10.48550/arXiv.1707.04191

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Engineering Science
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Engineering Science
Oxford college:
Exeter College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-1959-012X
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Engineering Science
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-0456-4124


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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/0439y7842
Grant:
EP/L015987/1
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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/03q6ms497


Preprint server:
arXiv
Publication date:
2017-07-13
DOI:


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:820260
UUID:
uuid:4e369c60-cc77-4ffb-8bd4-e5611e4d9d15
Local pid:
pubs:820260
Source identifiers:
820260
Deposit date:
2018-01-17
ARK identifier:

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