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Population dynamics of HIV-2 in rural West Africa: Comparison with HIV-1 and ongoing transmission at the heart of the epidemic

Abstract:
Objectives: To compare the population dynamics of HIV-2 and HIV-1, and to characterize ongoing HIV-2 transmission in rural Guinea-Bissau. Design: Phylogenetic and phylodynamic analyses using HIV-2 gag and env, and HIV-1 env sequences, combined with epidemiological data from a community cohort. Design: Samples were obtained from surveys in 1989-1991, 1996-1997, 2003 and 2006-2007. Phylogenies were reconstructed using sequences from 103 HIV-2-infected and 56 HIV-1-infected patients using Bayesian Evolutionary Analysis by Sampling Trees (BEAST), a relaxed molecular clock and a Bayesian skyline coalescent model. Results: Bayesian skyline plots showed a strong increase in the 1990s of the HIV-1 effective population size (Ne) in the same period that the Ne of HIV-2 came into a plateau phase. The population dynamics of both viruses were remarkably similar following initial introduction. Incident infections were found more often in HIV-2 transmission clusters, with 55-58% of all individuals contributing to ongoing transmission. Some phylogenetically linked sexual partners had discordant viral loads (undetectable vs. detectable), suggesting host factors dictate the risk of disease progression in HIV-2. Multiple HIV-2 introductions into the cohort are evident, but ongoing transmission has occurred predominantly within the community. Conclusion: Comparison of HIV-1 and HIV-2 phylodynamics in the same community suggests both viruses followed similar growth patterns following introduction, and is consistent with the hypothesis that HIV-1 may have played a role in the decline of HIV-2 via competitive exclusion. The source of ongoing HIV-2 transmission in the cohort appears to be new HIV-2 cases, rather than the pool of older infections established during the early growth of HIV-2. © 2012 Wolters Kluwer Health | Lippincott Williams and Wilkins.

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Publisher copy:
10.1097/QAD.0b013e32835ab12c

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Journal:
AIDS More from this journal
Volume:
27
Issue:
1
Pages:
125-134
Publication date:
2013-01-02
DOI:
EISSN:
1473-5571
ISSN:
0269-9370


Pubs id:
pubs:371377
UUID:
uuid:24c59f6e-94aa-41cc-aa3a-bd8d90ab3cae
Local pid:
pubs:371377
Source identifiers:
371377
Deposit date:
2013-11-16
ARK identifier:

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