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Beyond Pangloss: financial sector origins of inefficient economic booms

Abstract:
Government guarantees of bank liabilities have a long-standing history and are now ubiquitous. We study a model where financial sophistication enhances banks’ ability to exploit government guarantees and fuels inefficient economic booms. Driven by financial engineering, bank rent extraction creates a disconnect between lending decisions and borrower repayment prospects: In equilibrium, banks over-lend and only break-even courtesy of trading book profit. Exploitability is affected not only by financial sophistication but also by regulation. Given the pattern for regulatory changes in the last few decades, we posit that the Great Recession, partly, reversed a Great Distortion.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103558

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Economics
Oxford college:
St Hugh's College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-7220-4446


Publisher:
Elsevier
Journal:
Journal of Monetary Economics More from this journal
Volume:
145
Article number:
103558
Publication date:
2024-02-10
Acceptance date:
2024-02-09
DOI:
EISSN:
1873-1295
ISSN:
0304-3932


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1615807
Local pid:
pubs:1615807
Deposit date:
2024-02-10

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