Journal article
Pluralistic backcasting : integrating multiple visions with policy packages for transport climate policy
- Abstract:
- Traditionally backcasting studies in the field transport are based on a single normative vision (often with clearly stated targets) and alternative pathways are then developed to reach that vision. This paper expands the discussion on the role and importance of backcasting towards using multiple visions as a part of strategic transport planning process. This is done by presenting a method for pluralistic backcasting, which is defined as a process where multiple visions of the future are developed in a participatory, interdisciplinary process using the Delphi method. Further, the pathways to the alternative visions are constructed with a set of policy packages in a collaborative process with key stakeholders. The pluralistic backcasting approach outlined in the paper presents a set of practical tools to support development and implementation of climate strategies and policy programmes for transport. It presents a novel, policy relevant application in the field of backcasting. The approach is tested with a case study of multiple visions of the future on CO2 emissions for transport in Finland up to the year 2050, including the identification of required policy packages to achieve the visions.
- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
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- Publisher copy:
- 10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.014
Authors
- Publisher:
- Elsevier
- Journal:
- Futures More from this journal
- Volume:
- 60
- Pages:
- 41-58
- Publication date:
- 2014-08-01
- DOI:
- ISSN:
-
0016-3287
- Language:
-
English
- Keywords:
- UUID:
-
uuid:1babc9ed-381a-4d61-9a5f-348aa8e0f957
- Local pid:
-
ora:10634
- Deposit date:
-
2015-03-18
- ARK identifier:
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- 4 Elsevier Ltd
- Copyright date:
- 2014
- Notes:
- © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. NOTICE: this is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in Futures. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Futures, 60, (August 2014) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.014
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