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Essential information: Uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks.

Abstract:

Early resolution of uncertainty during an epidemic outbreak can lead to rapid and efficient decision making, provided that the uncertainty affects prioritization of actions. The wide range in caseload projections for the 2014 Ebola outbreak caused great concern and debate about the utility of models. By coding and running 37 published Ebola models with five candidate interventions, we found that, despite this large variation in caseload projection, the ranking of management options was relati...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1073/pnas.1617482114

Authors


Publisher:
National Academy of Sciences
Journal:
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences More from this journal
Volume:
114
Issue:
22
Pages:
5659-5664
Publication date:
2017-05-01
Acceptance date:
2017-04-20
DOI:
EISSN:
1091-6490
ISSN:
0027-8424
Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:696478
UUID:
uuid:1b65adc2-43ea-4dd7-a586-4c1e7ce7f4cb
Local pid:
pubs:696478
Source identifiers:
696478
Deposit date:
2017-07-13

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