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Journal article

The dynamics of scarlet fever epidemics in England and Wales in the 19th century.

Abstract:

There was a marked rise in scarlet fever mortality in England and Wales in the mid-nineteenth century and spectral analysis of the registration details, 1847-80, shows that the interepidemic interval was 5-6 years, but after 1880 the endemic level fell and the fatal epidemics disappeared. The dynamics of the scarlet fever epidemics can be represented by a linearized mathematical model and because the system is lightly damped, it could be driven by an oscillation in susceptibility. Epidemics w...

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.1017/s0950268800059161

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Engineering Science
Role:
Author
Journal:
Epidemiology and infection
Volume:
117
Issue:
3
Pages:
493-499
Publication date:
1996-12-01
DOI:
EISSN:
1469-4409
ISSN:
0950-2688
Source identifiers:
317469
Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:317469
UUID:
uuid:1af65026-9d01-400d-b6ed-0d17b6e40f40
Local pid:
pubs:317469
Deposit date:
2012-12-19

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