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Needles in a haystack: using forensic network science to uncover insider trading

Abstract:
Although the automation and digitisation of anti-financial crime investigation has made significant progress in recent years, detecting insider trading remains a unique challenge, partly due to the limited availability of labelled data. To address this challenge, we propose using a data-driven networks approach that flags groups of corporate insiders who report coordinated transactions that are indicative of insider trading. Specifically, we leverage data on 2.9 million trades reported to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) by company insiders (C-suite executives, board members and major shareholders) between 2014 and 2024. Our proposed algorithm constructs weighted edges between insiders based on the temporal similarity of their trades over the 10-year timeframe. Within this network we then uncover trends that indicate insider trading by focusing on central nodes and anomalous subgraphs. To highlight the validity of our approach we evaluate our findings with reference to two null models, generated by running our algorithm on synthetic empirically calibrated and shuffled datasets. The results indicate that our approach can be used to detect pairs or clusters of insiders whose behaviour suggests insider trading and/or market manipulation.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Not peer reviewed

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Preprint server copy:
10.48550/arXiv.2512.18918

Authors

More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Oxford Internet Institute
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Oxford college:
Somerville College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-0583-4595


More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/0439y7842
Grant:
EP/V013068/1
EP/V03474X/1
EP/Y028872/1


Preprint server:
arXiv
Publication date:
2025-12-21
DOI:
EISSN:
2331-8422


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2374015
Local pid:
pubs:2374015
Deposit date:
2026-03-04
ARK identifier:

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