Preprint
Needles in a haystack: using forensic network science to uncover insider trading
- Abstract:
- Although the automation and digitisation of anti-financial crime investigation has made significant progress in recent years, detecting insider trading remains a unique challenge, partly due to the limited availability of labelled data. To address this challenge, we propose using a data-driven networks approach that flags groups of corporate insiders who report coordinated transactions that are indicative of insider trading. Specifically, we leverage data on 2.9 million trades reported to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) by company insiders (C-suite executives, board members and major shareholders) between 2014 and 2024. Our proposed algorithm constructs weighted edges between insiders based on the temporal similarity of their trades over the 10-year timeframe. Within this network we then uncover trends that indicate insider trading by focusing on central nodes and anomalous subgraphs. To highlight the validity of our approach we evaluate our findings with reference to two null models, generated by running our algorithm on synthetic empirically calibrated and shuffled datasets. The results indicate that our approach can be used to detect pairs or clusters of insiders whose behaviour suggests insider trading and/or market manipulation.
- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Not peer reviewed
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(Preview, Pre-print, pdf, 2.4MB, Terms of use)
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- Preprint server copy:
- 10.48550/arXiv.2512.18918
Authors
+ Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
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- Funder identifier:
- https://ror.org/0439y7842
- Grant:
- EP/V013068/1
- EP/V03474X/1
- EP/Y028872/1
- Preprint server:
- arXiv
- Publication date:
- 2025-12-21
- DOI:
- EISSN:
-
2331-8422
- Language:
-
English
- Keywords:
- Pubs id:
-
2374015
- Local pid:
-
pubs:2374015
- Deposit date:
-
2026-03-04
- ARK identifier:
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- Jaeger et al
- Copyright date:
- 2025
- Rights statement:
- ©2025 The Authors. This paper is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
- Licence:
- CC Attribution (CC BY)
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