Journal article
The need for multi-method extreme event attribution
- Abstract:
- Over the past 20 years, extreme event attribution has developed rapidly, providing a wide range of methods to attribute weather events - from unconditioned probabilistic to strongly conditioned storyline approaches. Advancing the field now requires combining results from multiple methods, allowing more robust conclusions drawing from various lines of evidence. Yet, doing so remains challenging. We call for closer interaction within the attribution field to develop approaches with method comparison in mind. We highlight the need to explicitly define the research questions answerable by specific methods, and to clearly outline the limitations of each method.
- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
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- Files:
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(Preview, Version of record, pdf, 2.1MB, Terms of use)
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- Publisher copy:
- 10.1002/wea.7779
Authors
- Publisher:
- Wiley
- Journal:
- Weather More from this journal
- Publication date:
- 2025-11-03
- Acceptance date:
- 2025-09-27
- DOI:
- EISSN:
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1477-8696
- ISSN:
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0043-1656
- Language:
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English
- Pubs id:
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2295208
- Local pid:
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pubs:2295208
- Deposit date:
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2025-09-29
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- Thompson et al
- Copyright date:
- 2025
- Rights statement:
- © 2025 The Author(s). Weather published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Royal Meteorological Society. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.
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