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The Dark Energy Survey supernova program: a reanalysis of cosmology results and evidence for evolving dark energy with an updated Type Ia supernova calibration

Abstract:
We present improved cosmological constraints from a re-analysis of the Dark Energy Survey (DES) 5-year sample of Type Ia supernovae (DES-SN5YR). This re-analysis includes an improved photometric cross-calibration, recent white dwarf observations to cross-calibrate between DES and low-redshift surveys, retraining the salt3 light-curve model and fixing a numerical approximation in the host-galaxy colour law. Our fully recalibrated sample, which we call DES-Dovekie, comprises 1600 likely Type Ia SNe from DES and 200 low-redshift SNe from other surveys. With DES-Dovekie, we obtain in flat Lambda-cold dark matter (CDM) which changes by compared to DES-SN5YR. Combining DES-Dovekie with cosmic microwave background data from Planck, Atacama Cosmology Telescope, and South Pole Telescope and the DESI DR2 measurements in a flat CDM cosmology, we find and . Our results hold a significance of , reduced from for DES-SN5YR, to reject the null hypothesis that the data are compatible with the cosmological constant. This significance is equivalent to a Bayesian model preference odds of approximately 5:1 in favour of the flat CDM model. Using generally accepted thresholds for model preference, our updated data exhibits only a weak preference for evolving dark energy.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1093/mnras/stag632

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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-8012-6978
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-4213-8783


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Funder identifier:
10.13039/501100000271
Grant:
ST/Z510269/1
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Funder identifier:
10.13039/501100004837
Grant:
PID2023-151307NB-I00
More from this funder
Funder identifier:
10.13039/501100000780
Grant:
101205780
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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/02gn6ta77
Grant:
24.08(w)
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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/03zttf063
Grant:
2020–03444


Publisher:
Oxford University Press
Journal:
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society More from this journal
Volume:
548
Issue:
4
Pages:
stag632
Article number:
stag632
Publication date:
2026-04-14
Acceptance date:
2026-03-20
DOI:
EISSN:
1365-2966
ISSN:
0035-8711


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2408796
Local pid:
pubs:2408796
Source identifiers:
4014475
Deposit date:
2026-05-05
ARK identifier:
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