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THE PROSPECTS FOR SEASONAL FORECASTING - A REVIEW PAPER

Abstract:

The evidence for predictability of interannual fluctuations in the atmosphere and oceans is reviewed. The more linear nature of tropical dynamics is contrasted with the chaotic nature of extratropical circulations. The role of the largest interannual fluctuation, the El Nino Southern Oscillation, which has its origins in the tropical Pacific, but extends to influence half the globe, is the focus of much of the review. Seasonal predictions can be made with empirical or physically based models....

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.1002/qj.49712051802

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Physics
Sub department:
Atmos Ocean & Planet Physics
Role:
Author
Journal:
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
Volume:
120
Issue:
518
Pages:
755-793
Publication date:
1994-07-01
DOI:
ISSN:
0035-9009
Pubs id:
pubs:169980
UUID:
uuid:12f8d384-c0b9-4ec4-8ccf-6ca4670ab75a
Local pid:
pubs:169980
Source identifiers:
169980
Deposit date:
2012-12-19

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