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Measuring inaccuracy in travel demand forecasting: methodological considerations regarding ramp up and sampling

Abstract:

Project promoters, forecasters, and managers sometimes object to two things in measuring inaccuracy in travel demand forecasting: (1) using the forecast made at the time of making the decision to build as the basis for measuring inaccuracy and (2) using traffic during the first year of operations as the basis for measurement. This paper presents the case against both objections. First, if one is interested in learning whether decisions about building transport infrastructure are based on reli...

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Publication date:
2005-01-01
URN:
uuid:12dd18b2-8ec1-46e5-b259-ade623651b4f
Local pid:
oai:eureka.sbs.ox.ac.uk:729

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