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Modelling the different smallpox epidemics in England.

Abstract:

Time series analysis has revealed two different patterns of smallpox epidemics in Britain in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries: in large conurbations (exemplified by London) the disease was endemic whereas medium-sized rural towns (exemplified by Penrith, Cumbria) suffered from 5 year epidemics with no cases of smallpox in the inter-epidemic years. The oscillations (epidemics) persisted for over 150 years and it is suggested that both systems were pumped up by regular fluctuations in s...

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.1098/rstb.1994.0158

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, MPLS, Engineering Science
Duncan, CJ More by this author
Journal:
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences
Volume:
346
Issue:
1318
Pages:
407-419
Publication date:
1994-12-05
DOI:
EISSN:
1471-2970
ISSN:
0962-8436
URN:
uuid:128476f0-838c-43c4-8e33-08ff86ed95a3
Source identifiers:
317442
Local pid:
pubs:317442

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