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Uncertainty and scale interactions in ocean ensembles: from seasonal forecasts to multi-decadal climate predictions

Abstract:

The ocean plays an important role in the climate system on timescales of weeks to centuries. Despite improvements in ocean models, dynamical processes involving multi‐scale interactions remain poorly represented, leading to errors in forecasts. We present recent advances in understanding, quantifying and representing of physical and numerical sources of uncertainty in novel regional and global ocean ensembles at different horizontal resolutions. At coarse‐resolution, uncertainty in 21st‐centu...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1002/qj.3397

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Physics
Sub department:
Atmos Ocean & Planet Physics
Oxford college:
St Cross College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-8472-4828
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS Division
Department:
Physics
Sub department:
Atmos Ocean & Planet Physics
Role:
Author
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More from this funder
Funding agency for:
Zanna, L
Publisher:
Wiley Publisher's website
Journal:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Journal website
Volume:
145
Issue:
S1
Pages:
160-175
Publication date:
2018-10-09
Acceptance date:
2018-08-16
DOI:
EISSN:
1477-870X
ISSN:
0035-9009
Source identifiers:
924206
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:924206
UUID:
uuid:1169cb01-580e-4262-b82c-fbb3919b6608
Local pid:
pubs:924206
Deposit date:
2018-10-06

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