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Poisson intensity estimation with reproducing kernels

Abstract:
Despite the fundamental nature of the inhomogeneous Poisson process in the theory and application of stochastic processes, and its attractive generalizations (e.g. Cox process), few tractable nonparametric modeling approaches of intensity functions exist, especially in high dimensional settings. In this paper we develop a new, computationally tractable Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) formulation for the inhomogeneous Poisson process. We model the square root of the intensity as an RKHS function. The modeling challenge is that the usual representer theorem arguments no longer apply due to the form of the inhomogeneous Poisson process likelihood. However, we prove that the representer theorem does hold in an appropriately transformed RKHS, guaranteeing that the optimization of the penalized likelihood can be cast as a tractable finite-dimensional problem. The resulting approach is simple to implement, and readily scales to high dimensions and large-scale datasets.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Statistics
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Statistics
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Statistics
Role:
Author


Publisher:
AI & Statistics
Host title:
International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS)
Journal:
International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics More from this journal
Publication date:
2017-04-01
Acceptance date:
2017-01-25


Pubs id:
pubs:675165
UUID:
uuid:108caf10-0bfc-4b54-b8ba-d4454d62b39c
Local pid:
pubs:675165
Source identifiers:
675165
Deposit date:
2017-02-01

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