Journal article

Multi-Center Grand Ensemble using Three Operational Ensemble Forecasts

Abstract:: In this study, we investigate the impact of Multi-Center Grand Ensemble (MCGE) forecasts, consisting of three operational ensemble forecasts by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, and the Canadian Meteorological Center. We verified the skill of MCGE forecasts in comparison with that of JMA ensemble forecast using root mean square error, anomaly correlation, and Brier skill score for 500 hPa geopotential height and 850 hPa temperature in the Northern Hemisphere (20°N-90°N) in September 2005.Our results show that MCGE forecasts are more skillful than single-center ensemble forecast without considering weight among ensemble members and bias corrections. This implies that considering weight or bias corrections may result in further improvement of MCGE forecasts, specifically in probabilistic forecasts.

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APA Style

Matsueda, M., Kyouda, M., Tanaka, H., & Tsuyuki, T. (2006). Multi-Center Grand Ensemble using Three Operational Ensemble Forecasts. SOLA, 2, 33–36.

MLA Style

Matsueda, M, et al. “Multi-Center Grand Ensemble Using Three Operational Ensemble Forecasts.” SOLA, vol. 2, 2006, pp. 33–36.

Chicago Style

Matsueda, M, M Kyouda, H Tanaka, and T Tsuyuki. 2006. “Multi-Center Grand Ensemble Using Three Operational Ensemble Forecasts.” SOLA 2: 33–36.
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Publisher copy:: 10.2151/sola.2006-009

Authors

+ Matsueda, M More by this author

Role:: Author

+ Kyouda, M More by this author

Role:: Author

+ Tanaka, H More by this author

Role:: Author

+ Tsuyuki, T More by this author

Role:: Author

Publisher:: Meteorological Society of Japan
Journal:: SOLA More from this journal
Volume:: 2
Pages:: 33-36
Publication date:: 2006-01-01
DOI:: 10.2151/sola.2006-009
ISSN:: 1349-6476

Pubs id:: pubs:482493
UUID:: uuid:0f08b3c8-cf24-4b5c-9c89-6faec670dfa3
Local pid:: pubs:482493
Source identifiers:: 482493
Deposit date:: 2014-09-14
ARK identifier:: ark:/29072/ora_0f08b3c8cf244b5c9c896faec670dfa3

Terms of use

Copyright date:: 2006

Licence:: Terms and Conditions of Use for Oxford University Research Archive

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