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ON THE PREDICTION OF FORECAST SKILL

Abstract:

Using 10-day forecast 500 mb height data from the last 7 yr, the potential to predict the skill of numerical weather forecasts is discussed. Four possible predictor sets are described. The skill of the predictors are tested, and the regression coefficients derived, on data from six winters, for both regional and hemispheric skill scores. As an independent test, the predictors are also applied separately to the seventh winter period 1986/87. It is concluded that some aspects of the low-frequen...

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Publication status:
Published

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Authors


TIBALDI, S More by this author
Journal:
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW
Volume:
116
Issue:
12
Pages:
2453-2480
Publication date:
1988-12-05
DOI:
EISSN:
1520-0493
ISSN:
0027-0644
URN:
uuid:0e0ef40d-1072-47a7-938e-49f6739e2acf
Source identifiers:
169928
Local pid:
pubs:169928
Language:
English

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