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Comparing the persuasiveness of role-playing large language models and human experts on polarized U.S. political issues

Abstract:
Advances in large language models (LLMs) could significantly disrupt political communication. In a large-scale pre-registered experiment (n = 4955), we prompted GPT-4 to generate persuasive messages impersonating the language and beliefs of U.S. political parties—a technique we term “partisan role-play”—and directly compared their persuasiveness to that of human persuasion experts. In aggregate, the persuasive impact of role-playing messages generated by GPT-4 was not significantly different from that of non-role-playing messages. However, the persuasive impact of GPT-4 rivaled, and on some issues exceeded, that of the human experts. Taken together, our findings suggest that—contrary to popular concern—instructing current LLMs to role-play as partisans offers limited persuasive advantage, but also that current LLMs can rival and even exceed the persuasiveness of human experts. These results potentially portend widespread adoption of AI tools by persuasion campaigns, with important implications for the role of AI in politics and democracy.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1007/s00146-025-02464-x

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Oxford Internet Institute
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-2071-1726
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Oxford Internet Institute
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Springer
Journal:
AI and Society More from this journal
Volume:
41
Issue:
1
Pages:
351-361
Publication date:
2025-07-16
Acceptance date:
2025-06-23
DOI:
EISSN:
1435-5655
ISSN:
0951-5666


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2412309
UUID:
uuid_0d38db6f-348a-4611-b952-cdfeb8bad610
Local pid:
pubs:2412309
Source identifiers:
3722900
Deposit date:
2026-02-03
ARK identifier:
This ORA record was generated from metadata provided by an external service. It has not been edited by the ORA Team.

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