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Journal article

Lost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamics

Abstract:
Can the unprecedented lack of startups during the U.S. Great Recession have persistently negative effects? While fewer firms hiring workers can mechanically reduce employment for many years, this may be offset by feedback effects on lower wages, slacker labor markets and higher profits. An estimated model of firm dynamics and frictional labor markets suggests that such feedback effects are too weak to offset the direct impact of fewer startups. Had firm entry remained constant during the Great Recession, output would have recovered 4–6 years earlier and unemployment would have been 0.5 percentage points lower even 10 years after the crisis.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.007

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Economics
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-1871-5840


Publisher:
Elsevier
Journal:
Journal of Monetary Economics More from this journal
Volume:
111
Pages:
16-31
Publication date:
2019-01-09
Acceptance date:
2019-01-08
DOI:
EISSN:
1873-1295
ISSN:
0304-3932


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:965520
UUID:
uuid:0cecf1fd-975f-4b68-8457-6d992f654c02
Local pid:
pubs:965520
Source identifiers:
965520
Deposit date:
2019-01-22
ARK identifier:

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