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Skin in the game: risk analysis of central counterparties

Abstract:
We introduce a quantitative framework to design the capital contribution of a central counterparty (CCP) to its default waterfall, known as CCP “skin in the game” (SITG). We show that, under inadequate SITG levels, nondefaulting members are more exposed to default losses than CCPs. The resulting risk management incentive distortions could be mitigated by using the proposed framework. Our analysis addresses investor- and member-owned CCPs; we also analyze multilayer and “monolayer” default waterfalls. The broader central clearing mandate of US Treasuries may take place under monolayer CCPs. Viewing the total size of SITG as the lower bound on CCP regulatory capital, the framework can be used to improve capital regulation of investor-and member-owned CCPs. We also show that bank capital rules for CCP exposures may underestimate risk.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.21314/jfmi.2025.001

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Oxford college:
St Hugh's College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-1164-6053


Publisher:
Infopro Digital Services
Journal:
Journal of Financial Market Infrastructures More from this journal
Volume:
12
Issue:
2
Pages:
1-40
Publication date:
2025-05-07
DOI:
EISSN:
2049-5412
ISSN:
2049-5404


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2124689
UUID:
uuid_0a84854b-f20a-42ec-a89c-d9f357fd1daf
Local pid:
pubs:2124689
Deposit date:
2026-01-14
ARK identifier:

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