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Journal article

Higher CO2 concentrations increase extreme event risk in a 1.5C world

Abstract:

The Paris Agreement1 aims to ‘pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.’ However, it has been suggested that temperature targets alone are unable to limit the risks associated with anthropogenic emissions2, 3. Here, using an ensemble of model simulations, we show that atmospheric CO2 increase - a more predictable consequence of emissions compared to global temperature increase - has a significant impact on Northern Hemisphere summer temperature, he...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/s41558-018-0190-1

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Physics
Sub department:
Atmos Ocean & Planet Physics
Oxford college:
Jesus College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-9562-3520
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS Division
Department:
Physics
Role:
Author
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Name:
Natural Environment Research Council
Grant:
NE/P014844/1
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Name:
Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan
More from this funder
Name:
Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan
Publisher:
Nature Publishing Group
Journal:
Nature Climate Change More from this journal
Volume:
8
Pages:
604–608
Publication date:
2018-06-11
Acceptance date:
2018-05-14
DOI:
EISSN:
1758-6798
ISSN:
1758-678X
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:847730
UUID:
uuid:0a5003ce-586f-4c83-9c69-2dc9138415f5
Local pid:
pubs:847730
Source identifiers:
847730
Deposit date:
2018-05-14

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