Journal article
A Quantile Regression Neural Network Approach to Estimating the Conditional Density of Multiperiod Returns
- Abstract:
- This paper presents a new approach to estimating the conditional probability distribution of multiperiod financial returns. Estimation of the tails of the distribution is particularly important for risk management tools, such as Value-at-Risk models. Using daily exchange rates, a new approach is compared to GARCH-based quantile estimates. The results suggest that the new method offers a useful alternative for estimating the conditional density.
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- Publication date:
- 2000-07-01
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- UUID:
-
uuid:0a30bf27-3682-4c20-9cc5-c1b13aba568c
- Local pid:
- oai:eureka.sbs.ox.ac.uk:1729
- Deposit date:
- 2012-01-25
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- Copyright date:
- 2000
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