Ensemble decadal predictions from analysed initial conditions.

Journal article

Abstract:: Sensitivity experiments using a coupled model initialized from analysed atmospheric and oceanic observations are used to investigate the potential for interannual-to-decadal predictability. The potential for extending seasonal predictions to longer time scales is explored using the same coupled model configuration and initialization procedure as used for seasonal prediction. It is found that, despite model drift, climatic signals on interannual-to-decadal time scales appear to be detectable. ...
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Role:

Author

Institution:

University of Oxford

Division:

MPLS

Department:

Physics

Sub department:

Atmos Ocean & Planet Physics

Role:

Author

Journal:: Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences
Volume:: 365
Issue:: 1857
Pages:: 2179-2191
Publication date:: 2007-08-01
DOI:: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2079
EISSN:: 1471-2962
ISSN:: 1364-503X

Language:: English
Keywords:: ocean-atmosphere analyses

decadal predictability

ensemble forecasts
Pubs id:: pubs:169863
UUID:: uuid:0522eb76-27ad-4da9-be00-0957eb230b31
Local pid:: pubs:169863
Source identifiers:: 169863
Deposit date:: 2012-12-19

Licence:: Terms and Conditions of Use for Oxford University Research Archive

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