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Journal article

Arbitrage-free neural-SDE market models

Abstract:
Modelling joint dynamics of liquid vanilla options is crucial for arbitrage-free pricing of illiquid derivatives and managing risks of option trade books. This paper develops a nonparametric model for the European options book respecting underlying financial constraints and while being practically implementable. We derive a state space for prices which are free from static (or model-independent) arbitrage and study the inference problem where a model is learnt from discrete time series data of stock and option prices. We use neural networks as function approximators for the drift and diffusion of the modelled SDE system, and impose constraints on the neural nets such that no-arbitrage conditions are preserved. In particular, we give methods to calibrate neural SDE models which are guaranteed to satisfy a set of linear inequalities. We validate our approach with numerical experiments using data generated from a Heston stochastic local volatility model.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1080/1350486X.2023.2257217

Authors

More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Oxford college:
St Catherine's College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-4027-5298
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Routledge
Journal:
Applied Mathematical Finance More from this journal
Volume:
30
Issue:
1
Pages:
1-46
Publication date:
2023-09-28
Acceptance date:
2023-08-28
DOI:
EISSN:
1466-4313
ISSN:
1350-486X


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1518143
Local pid:
pubs:1518143
Deposit date:
2023-08-31
ARK identifier:

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