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Twinning Rates in Developed Countries: Trends and Explanations

Abstract:
The twinning rate has increased dramatically over the last four decades in developed countries. Two main factors account for this increase: delayed childbearing, as older women tend to have twins more frequently than younger ones, and the expansion of medically assisted reproduction (MAR), which carries an increased probability of multiple births. Using civil registration data, we estimate the share of the increase in twinning rates attributable to the rise in the age at childbearing and to MAR. The effect of MAR is estimated to be about three times as important as the effect of delayed childbearing. Negative health outcomes associated with multiple births and the cost of MAR have raised concerns. We find that in one-quarter of developed countries with the relevant data, the twinning rate reached a plateau around the early 2000s and decreased thereafter. We examine the reasons for this reversal, in particular changes in MAR policies and practices.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1111/j.1728-4457.2015.00088.x

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Sociology
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Wiley
Journal:
Population and Development Review More from this journal
Volume:
41
Issue:
4
Pages:
629-+
Publication date:
2015-12-15
DOI:
ISSN:
0098-7921


Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:581517
UUID:
uuid:437ce3f2-78c8-43e1-b7cc-47ae837ffc6f
Local pid:
pubs:581517
Source identifiers:
581517
Deposit date:
2016-02-10
ARK identifier:

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