Do road planners produce more 'honest numbers' than rail planners? An analysis of accuracy in road-traffic forecasts in cities versus peripheral regions.
Based on a review of available data from a database on large‐scale transport infrastructure projects, this paper investigates the hypothesis that traffic forecasts for road links in Europe are geographically biased with underestimated traffic volumes in metropolitan areas and overestimated traffic volumes in remote regions. The present data do not support this hypothesis. Since previous studies have shown a strong tendency to overestimated forecasts of the number of passengers on new rail pro...Expand abstract
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